Hurricane Nicole is expected to reach Florida next Wednesday

The whole of Florida is affected by the arrival of Hurricane Nicole on Wednesday afternoon (or evening). It’s currently a “tropical storm,” but the NHC has upgraded the hurricane to a “hurricane” category as it approaches the Bahamas, shortly before the Florida coast. Eye Nicole is set to land just north of West Palm Beach late Wednesday (and into the early hours of Thursday): so the metropolitan area of ​​Miami (the largest in Florida) has been affected. Nicole would then likely be downgraded to a “tropical storm” to cross Florida to the northwest and then turn northeast to get around other states, starting with Georgia. The NHC warns (see bottom of page) that storms will occur “outside the forecast cone” that we see on maps and that all of Florida is affected by the storm.

At 10 a.m. on Tuesday, Florida officially entered a “hurricane alert” For the East Coast between (approximately) Fort Lauderdale and Daytona Beach. The rest of the Atlantic coast is in “hurricane vigil” (Miami and Jacksonville). The West Coast is on its side at Tropical Storm Vigil, because Nicole will cross Florida.

As of Monday, Florida’s governor has placed 34 counties in a “state of emergency,” including the Miami metropolitan area: that is, Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties.

Winds can reach over 120 km/h, making it a hurricane (and therefore dangerous) but a less powerful hurricane (at the bottom of scale 1, on a scale of 1 to 5). FYI: A tropical storm is only classified as a “hurricane” above 118 km/h.

Watch out for flood There is a high tide From Sunday to Wednesday inclusive…

Nicole is still on roughly the same path and with an expected intensity of Category 1 for her arrival on the Florida coast.

However, as everyone has seen with Hurricane Ian, we must be prepared for changes in forecasts for the storm’s path, including until the last hours. Even if “Ian” was a phenomenon, its trajectory was particularly difficult to predict for weather services that are generally more accurate. But faulty analyzes of its path certainly misled the people remaining on the islands near Fort Myers Beach, where there have been more than 100 deaths. A priori, if there is a Hurricane Nicole, it shouldn’t be as violent as Ian…but you have to be vigilant.

Here is the NHC’s analysis of current Storm Nicole:

At 10 a.m. NHC Tuesday morning:

1. Serious hurricanes and storm surges are expected in parts of the northwest Bahamas in

Wednesday when a hurricane warning is in effect.

2. Hurricane is expected over parts of the southeast coast and eastern central Florida late

Wednesday when a hurricane warning was issued. Tropical storms are expected early Wednesday in tropical storm warning areas (which can be seen on the map) in Florida and Georgia /

3. A serious storm surge is expected over much of the east coast of Florida and parts of the Georgian coast where a storm surge warning is in effect. The storm surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Residents of the warning area should listen to advice given by officials.

4. Do not focus on the exact path of Nicole as a large hazardous storm is expected to extend north of the center, outside the forecast cone. These risks are likely to affect much of the Florida peninsula and parts of the southeastern United States.

5. NICOLE will produce heavy rain Wednesday and Thursday across the Florida peninsula. Urban and flash floods likely with potential for St. Johns River flooding

Flash flooding is likely in urban areas and over small streams in southeastern Georgia and parts of South Carolina on Thursday.

See also:

– All our articles on hurricanes

– Join the Florida Hurricane and Solidarity Information Group on Facebook (open to those from other states)

– What to do in a hurricane in Florida

– What is the National Hurricane Center?

– Names of hurricanes during the 2022 season

What to do in the event of a hurricane in Miami and Florida?

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